Golf picks 2-3 November. Lee-Way

November 3, 2015
A disappointing week last week rescued only somewhat by Freddie Couples's share of fifth place, despite a pitiful 38% driving accuracy percentage. On a more punishing course, he'd have sunk without trace. Thankfully I suggested it was a minimum stakes week, and following Smylie Kaufmann's unlikely win the previous week, Justin Thomas was not much better for punters.

This is a really bizarre week with nearly 20 events, and I've therefore divided it into two sections. The week's headline events are where I'm having the smaller bets and the second liners provide in my opinion better opportunities. 


The WGC Champions HSBC event sees the return of the likes of Jordan Spieth and Bubba Watson, alongside 'racefit' Rory McIlroy and Adam Scott. Scott finished well last week, but of those mentioned, Bubba is the likeliest at 18/1.  8th and 1st here and on this bombers track he'll enjoy himself. Won with -11 last year, having played the par 5s in -15 for the week. Dustin Johnson won the year before, but one player who might offer a bit of value is Marc Leishman, 9th here last year. An eyecatching 29th last week off a long break should have blown away the cobwebs and 150/1 is a generous e/w price to a minimum stake.
More realistically perhaps, Patrick Reed has been 3rd and 10th the last two weeks, so odds against around 11/8 is worth a top 20 play.

The Sanderson's Farms shortlist would be the bang in form Jason Bohn, placed here last year too, 12/1, Patton Kizzire who is off a great year on the Tour and the marvellously named Bronson Burgoon, who for much of the summer matched Kizzire stroke for stroke, but has been slightly below his best in recent weeks. however, given that Kizzire is 16/1 and Burgoon an eyewatering 250/1, I think i know which is better value! 

In the Seniors finale (30 players so only four places) Jeff Maggert is the e/w value at 20/1 and he is a bigger play. Maggert threatened to completely dominate with a string of wins and very high finishes mid-summer, before easing off slightly, but in the last couple of weeks there have been real signs of a return to mid-season form. Definitely overpriced.

These events would be less than 30% of my week's stakes however, all e/w bets above, and as I say, minimum stakes, Maggert apart, for me.


Two Ladies events this week. in Japan, a Friday start here note, is my bet of the week. BO MEE LEE (Nap), is the name. The Korean tour has produced the likes of Inbee Park, Ha Na Jang and HJ Kim, and Lee is another off the conveyer belt. The 27 year old spends less time on the main tour than some,  but in her last 12 events she has 3 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds and 2 fourths (worst finish 17th) and is the fifth highest rated on World rankings of those entered here. 14/1 is about my minimum price but will be surprised if the 27 year old is out of the five. She has already recorded a 2nd and a 13th in this event, and this can be her week.

Ryan Fox e/w in the Challenge Tour Final event at 25/1 and top ten at 2/1 is worth a play after a good third in Fiji when he partnered Matt Kuchar, which should have helped his career nicely.

A whole clutch of other events this week and I'm putting together an e/w multiple of players with exceptional chances, but need far more bookmakers to get involved first. Should be a case of 'how far' for multiple Major winner Angel Cabrera in Argentina and 7/1 is actually a nice price. Brett Rumford beat the same players he faces this week just days ago, while in India Siddikur Rahman has course form of 11 top 10s in 12 visits,  and if we get prices for the Sanya ladies event, Feng Shanshan is 200 points clear in the rankings of the rest.

Finally, the Euro and Webcom qualifier events (seven of them) offer up one bet, 9/1 for Dean Burmester with the brave Skybet who have priced the event, who has two Sunshine Tour wins in recent weeks, drops in grade and should take care of the Las Colinas division. He represents a decent Single bet, in addition to the multiple.

I'll be having an e/w multiple on these five players if even one bookie prices all five. Bet365 and Skybet doing best so far! Will edit into this post as more bookies are dragged screaming to price up.

MAIN BETS: (Plenty others, as above, and will UPDATE with more details on the multiple as prices become available more widely)

BM Lee; Toto Japan Classic e/w 14/1 NAP
Jeff Maggert Seniors Finale e/w 20/1
Dean Burmester; 9/1 e/w Las Colinas Euro Qualifier NB.

Patrick Reed; top 20 11/8 WGC.Cover bet


Fair play to Skybet who have now priced ALL of the above. I've had a minimum stakes e/w lucky 31 as per events above:

Dean Burmester 9/1
Shanshan Feng 9/4
Brett Rumford 11/2
Cabrera 7/1
Siddikur Rahman 8/1.

If the prices look short, they are short for a reason, and the cumulative odds do come to something over 15,000/1!!

As always Good Luck if you play any of these, and sincere thanks for reading.

Golf Picks 27/10. Sweet Oda

October 27, 2015
A week which started slowly, simmered nicely in the middle before fizzling out somewhat on Sunday. The undoubted highlight at 50/1 was Lucas Bjerregaard's second, while if I failed to persuade any readers to back Thongchai Jaidee for a top 20 after 8 consecutive years of achieving that in the event, I'm doing it wrong. He duly made it 9/9.

EDITED: Having seen Skybet price the Challenger Tour final on Monday, I slavishly thought the event was this week, infact it starts next Wednesday, so have ...
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Golf preview 21/10. Taiwanese Taste

October 19, 2015
Always wary of blowing my own trumpet, so bear with me for a moment :)

Selections across five events last week yielded three 2nds, a tied 3rd and a 6th. Some of them were 'second' selections, but they really stepped up to the plate. A win would have been the cherry on top, but it wasn't to be. However Chris Wood 20/1, Scott Dunlap 28/1 and Yani Tseng 45/1 all filled second spot and Vijay Singh was tied third (despite an opening round of 9 over par!). All put up each way so yielding a very prof...
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Bank on Ha Na. Golf picks 14/10

October 13, 2015
Another steady week last week with Shanshan Feng finishing second, to bring home e/w and top ten money. Less good was Kirk Triplett's horror second round 76, before bouncing back to miss a share of top ten by one shot.

Loads of events to get stuck into this week, and quite a few decent bets. probably least attractive from a punting point of view is the Portugal masters. Chris Wood is the hot player right now, -25 for his last eight competitive rounds, and must come into calculations around 20/...
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Golf picks 7/10

October 7, 2015
After Katayama's play off defeat and Jean Hugo's sixth place last week, on top of Kaymer's play off loss the week before, you could say the blog's jinx is alive and well!! However Kim's four birdies in five holes to force the play off weren't really Katayama's fault and he did ensure a profitable week for the blog.

This week there are some abysmal prices doing the rounds. Kenny Perry's outstanding course form hasn't been missed and the 11/1 is a terrible price, though his win chance is undenia...
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Golf 28 Sept. By Jingo...

September 28, 2015
A second disappointing week on the spin for the first time since May, I guess you could say I was 'due'. Doubly disappointing having recently restarted the blog.

Entirely understandable if you aren't still reading, but nothing ventured, and we have one of the stats bets of the season this week.
Penned on Monday before bookmakers arrive on the scene

Five events of interest, two wins and a second in his last five events in at least this grade or better (4th here in 2013) means that Jean Hugo is of...
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Golf 21 Sept

September 22, 2015
Very brief entry as on holiday. Disappointment last week with a poor showing, capped by the sole added twitter bet of Kaymer win only at 6s going down in a play off.

Kirk Triplett about 28s is the e/w headline selection of the week in the Seniors event at Pebble Beach, a venue he has multiple wins at. Max Kieffer is the pick at 15/8 top 20 as cover bet in Europe, where 66/1 for in form David Horsey, a win and a third in his last four events,  gets a small e/w interest. My only plays in the Tou...
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Golf Selections 14th September

September 14, 2015
A quick if slightly sore look back!

Last week promised much by Friday night, but ultimately delivered little. Having mentioned in the blog that I  liked the chances of Jean Hugo, I was put off by the price and passed. Wrong decision! Hugo went on to land the 7/1.

Early disappointment came in the shape of Ha Na Jang, who for the first time I can remember this year, missed the cut. But by Friday night, Kjeldsen was in the lead in Holland and Lahiri sitting in second place in the event. Kj...
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Golf Selections 7th September

September 8, 2015
Firstly a quick recap on last week...

For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins the tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16;
 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday, and according also to shot-tracker 2feet 5 inches on friday Sad

Happily Horsey made a place as well in Russia so with tha...
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Golf Selections

September 8, 2015
My first week of betting 'seriously' on golf, here are my thoughts and suggestions.
First a quick review, last week was definitely one that got away. For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins trhe tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16, then 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday,...

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