Selections 24 November to 1 December

November 23, 2014
A good week last week with three winners from the seven selections, including the blog's first Maximum which came at Dundalk, and Stenson landing an 8/1 bet. There were also three seconds, so it was nearly a very good week!

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR THE LATEST SELECTION UNDER EACH DAY'S DATE.

24TH NOVEMBER

Two of some interest at Wolverhampton are Rutherglen, who suffered a slight setback when about to run in long term target  the Irish Cesarawitch, so would have been fit for that and hopefully over the problem, the Quinn horse should go well in the 2 miler. Recent scorer RockAroundtheClock despite the weight might just be too classy for a modest bunch in the 3.05.

But the two that really catch the eye are Razor Wind, who did nothing wrong when second at Kempton, bumping into a very strongly backed newcomer (pair clear) and should lose the maiden tag, while Saturday's positive mention for Boom the Groom bore fruit - and the fourth of four Dundalk Tony Carroll entries last Friday (two ran there and won) Pour La Victoire, appears today instead of last Friday and bids to 'complete the set'.

EDIT: With Pour la Victoire a non-runner and Razor Wind priced at a shocking 1/2, there's currently no ONE-A-DAY selection for Monday, however I'll have a look at other sports so may put up something later in the day for the week ahead, and certainly if not, will be back on Tuesday.

Thanks for looking in, patience is important for me, rather than putting up a bet 'for the sake of it' :)

25TH NOVEMBER

Will be back on the horses tomorrow with a few candidates standing out, but another golf pick for this week on a very quiet racing Tuesday. For anyone struggling to find something on the horses, the closest I came to a selection was another Stuart Crawford bumper runner, Legacy Phoenix, in the last at Sedgefield. 
Crawford has a 30% strike rate with his bumper runners when sent across the water, including 8/27 at this course. Worth a market check.

But Tuesday's One-A-Day is golfer PROM MEESAWAT e/w (9/1 Several, 10/1 Stan James), who is taken to win the Kings Cup in his native Thailand, an Asian Tour event. A winner earlier this year, the selection's last four finishes have been 3,28,3,2 so he's clearly in fine form. And his course record is just exceptional, his last five visits to this venue have produced finishes of 4,6,6,2,5. 
So to say he's 'due' is hardly exaggeration. And in a fairly modest field, this looks ideal for the Thai golfer to get over the winning line and hopefully back up the blog's success last week with Stenson.

I'll put up a leaderboard link on twitter when the tournament gets underway as I'm well aware this is hardly a mainstream event. For anyone who can't resist, McIlroy, tied 2nd behind Stenson, is around 5/2 in Australia, and the double would pay around 34/1, with the e/w double a far more modest 4/1 or so.

But I'm sticking with the single on Meesawat for the blog as the Tuesday One-A-Day bet.

WEDNESDAY 26TH NOVEMBER

A more interesting day of racing, at least on the all weather. Two at Kempton, Rightway looks to have a fairly simple task in the maiden at 6.15. Some solid efforts in Ireland, represents new connections here. The second of 24 to Shukhov last time head and shoulders above this grade. 8/11 though is on the short side and I'm looking elsewhere, though if anyone asked me the likeliest winner of the day, this would be it.
The horse has also a maiden entry at Dundalk on Friday, however I wouldn't expect that to be required.

Major Jack in the 7.15 should have more juice (3/1 early doors with Bet365 gone). Up in class but his handler has proved himself so adept with progressive sprinters, and some felt this horse was unlucky as James Doyle just failed to get the Kheleyf gelding up at Lingfield last time, having given the horse probably just too much to do. 

Over in Dundalk, anyone looking for a big price, the 10/1 with Hills for Manny Owens in the nursery looks decent. Course form of 2.1, and the horse that was second to this Mandoro colt last time has won well since.

AKASAKA (3/1) looks a likely one though, and gets the vote. Has changed hands after running a close third to Whailley (winner since) last time in a claimer. A real Dundalk specialist with wins off marks in the high 90s, now down to 85 so gets into this Ratings race and should be able to take advantage, with the promising Tom Madden taking off 7lbs.
Micky Halford's decisive last time out winner Camasaki in a fair time looks to have finally got the hang of things, however on an official rating of 82 doesn't have anything in hand and might find this just too much, but certainly rates the danger.

It's a trappy card, elsewhere Catchy Lass will be popular after a flying finish last time, and the O'Callaghan team will be desperate to get a win out of Indian Tomahawk. His form behind Raydara would give him every chance but he hasn't really progressed.
Elusive Laurence, a blog selection last time, has a fair chance in an open looking finale.

One-A-Day vote goes to AKASAKA (3/1 Paddy Power, Boylesports  7.30 Dundalk)

THURSDAY 27TH NOVEMBER

Mondays to Thursdays during the winter can be pretty low key, so it's nice to see a cracking card at Thurles. Un De Sceaux, Clondaw Court, Blood Cotil and Golantilla just a few of the exciting horses declared.
 
Un De Sceaux will be priced up very short for the opener, but might be worth having a place only dabble with the racefit CLARCAM, around 6/4 in early exchanges on betfair. Jumped impeccably when second to Vautour at the weekend, and if that hasn't left a mark, then the horse should at least make the frame. Appreciate the horse is first reserve, so hoping he gets a run, money back of course if not.

Jessica Harrington's Mr Fifty One is another exciting runner in this excellent contest, along with Blood Cotil, a pretty decent second string for Willie Mullins so we should be able to get a workable each way (or place only) price.

At the time of typing no market has formed, but should Golantilla (2.35 Thurles) be odds against in the market (I'd be very surprised) then this prmising ex-bumper horse would also merit support.

CLARCAM 6/4 or better Place Only is the One-A-Day suggestion. EDITED 12.00 Appreciate this is very late but in absence of Clarcam (and Blood Cotil) MR FIFTY ONE looks excellent value around Evens for a place and is the replacement One-A-Day selection in this race.
 

Selections 17-23 November

November 17, 2014
A mixed first five days for the blog, with a couple of each ways hitting the frame, but the more confident selections being disappointing! Rory Sabbatini mixed two flawless rounds of 66 with two dreadful efforts of 73 and 76, while among the horses, Elusive Laurence's short head defeat at 12/1 was the closest we came to a winner.
Do remember this is an amateur blog please when deciding whether to follow me in on any selections, and thanks for your patience as we look for that elusive winner!

17...
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One-Bet-A-Day Selections 13-16 November

November 13, 2014
PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR THE LATEST SELECTION EACH DAY.

Nice to get the revamped blog underway yesterday with 12/1 e/w selection Elusive Laurence running a huge race, and going down a short head in a wild finish. Obviously the 'W' would have been nicer, but it wasn't quite to be.
Hopefully a few of you though enjoyed the race and made a few bob!

As said in the intro yesterday, the day's best bet won't always be horse racing and today's is the first venture elsewhere. Looked at the racing long and ...
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One-Bet-A-Day. Welcome!

November 12, 2014
Hi

Welcome to my newly revised blog. On an experimental basis until the Christmas holidays, I will be putting up one Sports Bet a day.

A few of your possible questions answered first.

1) I've been punting since the 1980s, so I'd like to think I've built up a bit of experience meantime, and don't just play in horse racing, but other sports including golf, rugby union and football.

2) Most of my bets will be horse racing, but not exclusively. That's particularly the case when we only have fairly a...
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Champion Bumper Preview. Vic... Vic... Victory

March 11, 2014
Champion Bumper Preview. Vic... Vic.. Victory.
WEATHERBYS CHAMPION BUMPER (A STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE) GRADE 1(CLASS 1) (4-6yo) Winner £34,170 23 runners 2m110y Good To Soft RUK. 5.15 Wednesday.

Outside of the Champion hurdle, this is my favourite race of the week. Appreciate not many will agree, but Bumpers are niche races, followed by relatively few, but a small cult seems to form around those who enjoy this race. 

And my opinion is that this is the best crop in many years. My e...
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meydan 1st March. personal notes and only provisional

February 25, 2014
Due to two Carnival cards this week, notes added here usual site though please visit www.sportsnut.yolasite.com where these comments will be added

2.45

No Bet.

Summary:
Likely favourite here, Plantagenet got the run of the race when a fine third to Elleval last week, the horse loves a fast pace when the front runners come back. Not been as good in small fields historically, so it might pay to consider Mickdaam, didn't show much behind Vercingetorix last time but is a former listed winner here, o...
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Opinion: A reply, and why Scots deserve to be in Six Nations.

February 10, 2014
For anyone who hasn't seen it, The Telegraph's Sports correspondent, Paul Hayward (@_paulhayward on twitter) has written an article suggesting that Scotland should be told to 'Shape up or Ship out' of the Six Nations. The premise is that they are no longer fit to be part of the tournament, in that they do not take it seriously and their stats are dreadful in the first two games of this year's tournament, following years of disappointing results.

Let's get this straight from the start. This ard...
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Curley related Gamble. Opinion

January 23, 2014
Yesterday, as I suspect most/all readers will know by now, ex-Barney Curley related horses, all returning from long absences, landed an estimated 2 million pound gamble, (undoubtedly the blow softened by exchange trading), winning four races at various all weather meetings in the UK.

Nothing a punter loves more than to stick one on the bookies, and plenty picked up a nice payout. Even the bookies sounded almost relieved that the 'Sting' was not greater. Twitter was buzzing with triumphal comme...
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Lions Tour latest news views

June 11, 2013
A

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1,000 Guineas preview. What's in A Name?

May 3, 2013
Fifteen go to post for the Fillies Classic on Sunday, the Qipco 1,000 Guineas over the straight mile. After such a dramatic few weeks in flat racing's HQ for all the wrong reasons, with the Zarooni and Butler yards guilty of steroid use, Newmarket will be glad to get back to doing what it does best, and that's racing itself of course.

The forecast is set fair and the ground likely to be around good to firm (watered to maintain). With the stalls placed in the centre it should provide a fairly l...
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