Golf 28 Sept. By Jingo...

September 28, 2015
A second disappointing week on the spin for the first time since May, I guess you could say I was 'due'. Doubly disappointing having recently restarted the blog.

Entirely understandable if you aren't still reading, but nothing ventured, and we have one of the stats bets of the season this week.
Penned on Monday before bookmakers arrive on the scene

Five events of interest, two wins and a second in his last five events in at least this grade or better (4th here in 2013) means that Jean Hugo is of interest in South Africa. Unlikely to be much of a price but one for multiples, as is Jens Fahrbring e/w in the European Tour challenge event. A 22nd and then two thirds, the latest in a higher class event in Italy, makes him the likely favourite, again, one for multiples only. Jamie Lovemark in the event completes this e/w patent. Wisely he took last week out after a fine fortnight and should be a fair each way price.

The European tour heads to Scotland and a fine field for the Alfred Dunhill links, two rounds at St Andrew's and one each at Carnoustie and Kingsbarns. Leaderboards get skewed as players play different courses on the same day and the cut doesn't come until the end of round three.

Course specialists do really well in this event and that brings in the likes of Tommy Fleetwood, but he's in worse form than Sunderland. David Howell has spectacular form at the home of golf, including a win a few years ago in this event. But that was his only win in 9 long years and so he is worth a look in top 20 markets.

Martin Kaymer is sure to be dangerous, but the fairly token  e/w vote goes to Jamie Donaldson in a tough to call event, back to form with a tied 5th, a couple of weeks after his return from injury. Finished a reasonable 'mid-div' in the Open here.
Although St Andrew's 'standing dish' Louis Oosthuizen is still entered at time of typing, he withdrew from the PGA finals last week with the back giving him trouble again, so should be treated with caution. I'd anticipate Danny Willett being in the mix, and Brooks Koepka could be considered a class dropper after a solid showing in the PGA tour finals. Might just be tired enough though.

But the curse of the e/w Nap vote has to go to SHINGO KATAYAMA in Japan. I really hope we get a top ten market, as he has had 9 top tens in his last 12 appearances in this event, that run started with an extraordinary seven in a row, and got the elusive win in 2013. He's had a bang average season but 18th, 11th and 7th in his last three events suggest he's, somehow, timed it perfectly again. Anyhow he's worth a decent sized e/w bet with the top 10 as cover. 22/1 with Skybet is respectable.

Katayama followed by FAHRBRING would be my strongest fancies of the week, and worth e/w singles and e/w double. That would pay a fairly likeable 400/1+ with Skybet (a pathetic dearth of bookmakers pricing up early) - for those with greater ambition top it up with one of the others to take it into the thousands!

EDIT. Thanks to @davetindallgolf I've added a small e/w on Kaymer at 16/1. As he pointed out on the excellent William Hill weekly golf podcast 12th and 7th in two St Andrew's Opens, a win and a second in this event and 2nd on his last start.

Keeping back a small percentage of the stakes this week to look for an in play bet around halfway or after round three, which I will tweet and/or add here, if something suitable crops up.

Good luck to anyone who plays any of these this week and as always thanks for reading. I must try harder after the last two weeks!

Golf 21 Sept

September 22, 2015
Very brief entry as on holiday. Disappointment last week with a poor showing, capped by the sole added twitter bet of Kaymer win only at 6s going down in a play off.

Kirk Triplett about 28s is the e/w headline selection of the week in the Seniors event at Pebble Beach, a venue he has multiple wins at. Max Kieffer is the pick at 15/8 top 20 as cover bet in Europe, where 66/1 for in form David Horsey, a win and a third in his last four events,  gets a small e/w interest. My only plays in the Tou...
Continue reading...

Golf Selections 14th September

September 14, 2015
A quick if slightly sore look back!

Last week promised much by Friday night, but ultimately delivered little. Having mentioned in the blog that I  liked the chances of Jean Hugo, I was put off by the price and passed. Wrong decision! Hugo went on to land the 7/1.

Early disappointment came in the shape of Ha Na Jang, who for the first time I can remember this year, missed the cut. But by Friday night, Kjeldsen was in the lead in Holland and Lahiri sitting in second place in the event. Kj...
Continue reading...

Golf Selections 7th September

September 8, 2015
Firstly a quick recap on last week...

For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins the tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16;
 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday, and according also to shot-tracker 2feet 5 inches on friday Sad

Happily Horsey made a place as well in Russia so with tha...
Continue reading...

Golf Selections

September 8, 2015
My first week of betting 'seriously' on golf, here are my thoughts and suggestions.
First a quick review, last week was definitely one that got away. For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins trhe tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16, then 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday,...

Continue reading...

Golf Selections, Tackling the Bookies

September 6, 2015
It's Monday lunchtime and straight to the business end of the selection process. Prices are slowly starting to appear for this week's golf events. Skybet have priced the South African event and while I like Jean Hugo's chances as in the previous entry, i don't care for the price, 7/1. Pass!

Next up it's the KLM event, one of the week's better offerings, and no surprise that the class act, Martin Kaymer, heads the betting. 12th in the PGA and has been returning to form gradually after a slow st...
Continue reading...

The Selection process 5-6/9/2015. And Stuff... :)

September 5, 2015
Thought it might be mildly amusing to blog as I go through the selection process for my first week betting 'seriously' on golf (as per my post below).

It's Saturday morning and am greeted not just by the sight of rain on opening the curtains, but slate, leaden skies. Summer, bah! But this does have an upside, especially this morning. No 'enforced' shopping trip, and after a swift breakfast, lo and behold the internet is free, and for the morning.
Scenes! This means I can get a head's start on s...
Continue reading...

Giving it a Go. Golf Betting

September 2, 2015
After much pre-planning, careful financing for other contingencies, and experimentation, I've decided to put aside a four figure 'Bank' for golf betting.

Having had a reasonably successful golf betting season, skimming off a few profits I've been lucky enough to win, I've decided to have a proper go at betting seriously. I'd call it 'semi-pro', for want of a better phrase, and if at any stage the pot's gone, then the experiment will be over.

Am choosing not to divulge numbers, and realise that ...

Continue reading...

Ten to Follow. Mountain can Peak

April 4, 2015
Welcome to my ten to follow for the flat season! I don't know if it's the feeling of a warmer sun on the back, scent of cut grass or just excitement for the season ahead, but I really like the feel of this group of horses this year!

After a 2014 that started well but ended with a frustratingly large number of seconds, a rather more varied collection of horses this year, from potential Group winners to modest handicappers that can nevertheless hopefully pay their way.

At all times the list will ...
Continue reading...

Dubai World Cup Meeting. Fingers Crossed

March 17, 2015
After a really enjoyable Carnival, which wouldn't have been the same without so many kind messages about the blog on twitter and elsewhere, sincere thanks, we move to the ''Finals Night'', an engrossing blend of the best 'local' talent and challengers from around the World, including Japan, USA, UK, South Africa and France. 

The US arm of my twitter timeline have been mainly oozing confidence over the last week or so, seems they have several races, including the finale, in the bag. :) Anyway m...
Continue reading...


Make a Free Website with Yola.