The blog has taken a break but is back whenever there's good quality flat racing in particular, and Friday does not disappoint with Dundalk, Jebel Ali and Wolverhampton. Not all about the Hennessey meeting for sure!

Only early bird readers will catch Jebel, with the first race at 10.05am and there runs my best bet on the card. I put up Sarbola last time but finished 3rd behind Mutual Force. Has a reasonable chance of reversing form here, but preference is for the lightly weighted KARMA CHAMELEON (Jebel 10.05) after a fine second in a warmer looking race at Meydan the other day. Was running on when the winner had gone, and this stiff finish should suit here. Has won at three of the four UK all weather tracks (and a narrow second at Lingfield) so the various surfaces seem to all come alike.

In the second race the Al Muhairi stable sets a knotty puzzle by running the two market leaders, Straight Talk, a winner at 7f here last time, and winner over this c+d of the mile on the same day MASHAAREF (Jebel Ali 10.35). The latter's time was apparently a hand time, but if remotely accurate was a much smarter performance than his stablemate's. Timed at 1.33.45 just over 7 seconds longer than it took Straight Talk to cover 200 metres less.
 
That's a very good mile, faster than many of Frankel's performances. To put it in perspective, in the Breeders Cup Wise Dan broke 1.32 but that one was just sensational.
Now of course I'm not suggesting anything silly that would seriously compare Mashaaref to either of these horses and we are talking totally different conditions, but it does demonstrate an impressive time in its own right.
 

Obviously a hand time needs significantly added caution, but if it is reasonably accurate, then the selection deserves a strong vote here. Also the races are about 10 metres short of a mile, at 1600 metres, for anyone splitting hairs!!

The rest of the card is very trappy indeed, though @Dubairacenight (well worth a follow as is @smolyneux ) has heard a very good word for Kilt Rock in the third, and in the sprints I'm told that a high draw is generally preferred.

No bets at Wolverhampton, but the eight race card at Dundalk has two exciting possibilities.

The second race could lie between Mount MacLeod and PIERRE D'OR (Dundalk 6.15). The latter has had two runs at 5f, staying on in a race run in a good time latest, and the extra furlong is sure to suit this Curragh 6f winner. Mount Macleod did pull hard but travelled very strongly when winning at 7f here last time. Both have good draws, and it might be worth adding in a reverse forecast as well as a win bet on the selection - incase!! However the selection has dropped from a mark of 80 to this tempting 63 in just over a year and i think is just too classy for Mount Macleod.


Finally on the flat IF PER CHANCE (Dundalk 9.15) NAP looks worth a Maximum Bet. Came home off the turn in a fast time last time out, carrying 10 stone, to finish a close fourth behind three horses with superb Dundalk profiles. The first three home raced just off the pace that day, while the selection was last at one stage. 
A winner in the past here off 80, so can exploit this rating of 68 now. Stall 11 is wider than ideal, however it's hard to find many other negatives and Danny Mullins's 3lbs further adds to the attraction. Saint By Day has ability but is a tricky enough ride and up in trip He's Our Music should run its race without being quite good enough, and these two should help make the market for the selection, along with Lonrach returning from a break for the all conquering Jim Bolger who remains in great form. The selection has been drawn in much the easier division of this handicap. 


I'm hopeful in the early market exchanges If Per Chance will slip under the radar, if so i will be looking to take advantage.

One hurdler to look out for on fantastic Friday is Ally Cascade, a close second to Jezki last time, which went on to win in much higher Class. ALLY CASCADE (Thurles 12.35) has had entries in Graded races in the past fortnight without running, so this maiden should be well within its compass.

FRIDAY BETS:

Win Singles E/W Double:

10.05 Jebel: Karma Chameleon
10.35 Jebel: Mashaaref

Win Single:

12.35 Thurles: Ally Cascade

Win Singles E/W Double;

6.15 Dundalk: Pierre D'Or NB
9.15 Dundalk: If Per Chance NAP and Max Bet (e/w if 5/1 or better)


Thanks for looking in, more regular updates from now on as the all weather season gets into full swing.