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Dirt races analysis of winners Meydan

Posted by jim g on Saturday, March 5, 2016,
31 Dirt races during this year's Meydan Carnival, and if anyone is considering backing hold-up horses for World Cup night, you might like read this first! Admittedly a small sample size, but pretty clear pattern for anyone prepared to be open-minded.

These are Racing Post comments on the 31 winners this Carnival on dirt. Admittedly unlikely to be entertaining reading for non-racing anoraks, it must be said :) 

Number at end of line is draw.

7 JAN

Tracked leading pair, led 1f out, ran on well. 8 r...
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Natural Selection

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 29, 2016,
ORIGINAL NAP A NON-RUNNER, SELECTIONS AMENDED WITH NEW NAP.

Last week, i suggested it would be no surprise if four or five favourites won, looking at the shape of the card. Blog Nap Think Ahead was only second, but if anyone followed the suggested e/w multiples covering all seven races, they should have had a rewarding 'pick-up', with four of them winning and the other three finishing second. A rare 'full house'!  Jamesie also filled the frame at a rewarding price.

Simply cannot let the number ...
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Meydan 25/2. Looking Ahead

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 22, 2016,
A near miss last week as the blog Nap, Cool Cowboy, available at 6/1 early on, was run down by a reformed (and first time gelded) Maftool in the dying strides. Ertijaal loathed the dirt, another talented horse that you hope isn't soured from the game like so many before him, for an outing on the gravel. 

CARD:

It's one of those days..... Generally as a punter the biggest edge we have is that bookies have to price every race, every day, and we can cherry pick, not only which favourites to back/o...
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Meydan 18/2. Keep Cool

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 15, 2016,
A woeful Thursday for the blog last week, though Marking's unfortunate accident at the start was 'one of these things'. There's just no accounting for something like that. Found myself having to bite my tongue on twitter as some usually decent judges indulged in some splendid aftertiming. :)

Some talking up the horse pre-race with the usual 'Let's Go Marking' Potential Superstar' and many such excited comments, turned post race into 'still a dodge' and the like. But well done to those who did ...
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Meydan 11/2. Marking Time

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 8, 2016,
No flannel from the blog; last week was the first without a winner from the three main bets, so a disappointing effort from your's truly. Paene Magnus came within a stride of saving face among the 'other races', and the 'One for the Road' feature made it two in a row, but still a frustrating week! Do rermember as I frequently mention, to remind new and existing readers, this blog is amateur written - sometimes it shows! ;)

Guineas week this week, two small field races with very short priced fa...
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Meydan preview 4/2. Popular Poplar

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 1, 2016,
Always frustrating when the headline horse goes down as last Thursday, but hopefully it didn't completely overshadow the success of the other two main bets of the week, with Anaerobio and Forries Waltz winning at nice enough prices, particularly for anyone who got on early around 9/2 and 11/2 respectively..

It's a much better card I think this week,with a particularly tasty Round Two of the Al Maktoum Challenge featuring the likes of Surfer, Special Fighter, Prayer for Relief and Faulkner,

Erti...
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Meydan 29/1. Head Case

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, January 26, 2016,
Not such a good week last week, despite a win for headline horse Safety Check. Let's Go was far from the first Charlie Appleby inmate to disappoint on the dirt, while Elleval could manage only third (though was put up each way) and the other Halford horse, Certerach, was never sighted.

Another interesting card and more competitive than last week, but very testy for punters this week, but I hope a couple of potentially decent bets along the way.

MAIN BETS. 

3.00 Not too often involved in the non-...
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Meydan Preview 22/1. Safety First

Posted by jim g on Monday, January 18, 2016,
A 'nearly week' last week, with the blog finding the first three winners, from five, only to be let down by an appalling effort from the well backed Nap, Cat O'Mountain. Although the stable has an iffy record on the surface, no real excuse for the Cat, who has a smashing dirt pedigree. That said, pedigree is not everything, and almost any horse, including those bred for it, can be forgiven. The sooner Tapeta returns to Meydan, the better the racing will be once again. Indeed this week's disti...
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Meydan preview 15/1. Get Fat on the Cat

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, January 12, 2016,
As in previous years, I'm doing a blog for the Meydan Carnival, start with the health warning that this is an amateur blog, and these are purely my opinions. All bets are of course your decision, but hopefully a few pointers along the way might help, even if they only encourage you to put a line through my picks. :)

MAIN BETS

5.55 Straight in with CAT O'MOUNTAIN (NAP)who gets the dreaded Nap vote for this week. A winner first time out in 2014, ending the Meydan campaign that season with a fine ...
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Golf picks 2-3 November. Lee-Way

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, November 3, 2015,
A disappointing week last week rescued only somewhat by Freddie Couples's share of fifth place, despite a pitiful 38% driving accuracy percentage. On a more punishing course, he'd have sunk without trace. Thankfully I suggested it was a minimum stakes week, and following Smylie Kaufmann's unlikely win the previous week, Justin Thomas was not much better for punters.

This is a really bizarre week with nearly 20 events, and I've therefore divided it into two sections. The week's headline events ...
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Golf Picks 27/10. Sweet Oda

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, October 27, 2015,
A week which started slowly, simmered nicely in the middle before fizzling out somewhat on Sunday. The undoubted highlight at 50/1 was Lucas Bjerregaard's second, while if I failed to persuade any readers to back Thongchai Jaidee for a top 20 after 8 consecutive years of achieving that in the event, I'm doing it wrong. He duly made it 9/9.

EDITED: Having seen Skybet price the Challenger Tour final on Monday, I slavishly thought the event was this week, infact it starts next Wednesday, so have ...
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Golf preview 21/10. Taiwanese Taste

Posted by jim g on Monday, October 19, 2015,
Always wary of blowing my own trumpet, so bear with me for a moment :)

Selections across five events last week yielded three 2nds, a tied 3rd and a 6th. Some of them were 'second' selections, but they really stepped up to the plate. A win would have been the cherry on top, but it wasn't to be. However Chris Wood 20/1, Scott Dunlap 28/1 and Yani Tseng 45/1 all filled second spot and Vijay Singh was tied third (despite an opening round of 9 over par!). All put up each way so yielding a very prof...
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Bank on Ha Na. Golf picks 14/10

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, October 13, 2015,
Another steady week last week with Shanshan Feng finishing second, to bring home e/w and top ten money. Less good was Kirk Triplett's horror second round 76, before bouncing back to miss a share of top ten by one shot.

Loads of events to get stuck into this week, and quite a few decent bets. probably least attractive from a punting point of view is the Portugal masters. Chris Wood is the hot player right now, -25 for his last eight competitive rounds, and must come into calculations around 20/...
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Golf picks 7/10

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, October 7, 2015,
After Katayama's play off defeat and Jean Hugo's sixth place last week, on top of Kaymer's play off loss the week before, you could say the blog's jinx is alive and well!! However Kim's four birdies in five holes to force the play off weren't really Katayama's fault and he did ensure a profitable week for the blog.

This week there are some abysmal prices doing the rounds. Kenny Perry's outstanding course form hasn't been missed and the 11/1 is a terrible price, though his win chance is undenia...
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Golf 28 Sept. By Jingo...

Posted by jim g on Monday, September 28, 2015,
A second disappointing week on the spin for the first time since May, I guess you could say I was 'due'. Doubly disappointing having recently restarted the blog.

Entirely understandable if you aren't still reading, but nothing ventured, and we have one of the stats bets of the season this week.
Penned on Monday before bookmakers arrive on the scene

Five events of interest, two wins and a second in his last five events in at least this grade or better (4th here in 2013) means that Jean Hugo is of...
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Golf 21 Sept

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, September 22, 2015,
Very brief entry as on holiday. Disappointment last week with a poor showing, capped by the sole added twitter bet of Kaymer win only at 6s going down in a play off.

Kirk Triplett about 28s is the e/w headline selection of the week in the Seniors event at Pebble Beach, a venue he has multiple wins at. Max Kieffer is the pick at 15/8 top 20 as cover bet in Europe, where 66/1 for in form David Horsey, a win and a third in his last four events,  gets a small e/w interest. My only plays in the Tou...
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Golf Selections 14th September

Posted by jim g on Monday, September 14, 2015,
A quick if slightly sore look back!

Last week promised much by Friday night, but ultimately delivered little. Having mentioned in the blog that I  liked the chances of Jean Hugo, I was put off by the price and passed. Wrong decision! Hugo went on to land the 7/1.

Early disappointment came in the shape of Ha Na Jang, who for the first time I can remember this year, missed the cut. But by Friday night, Kjeldsen was in the lead in Holland and Lahiri sitting in second place in the web.com event. Kj...
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Golf Selections 7th September

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, September 8, 2015,
Firstly a quick recap on last week...

For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins the tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16;
 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday, and according also to shot-tracker 2feet 5 inches on friday Sad

Happily Horsey made a place as well in Russia so with tha...
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Golf Selections

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, September 8, 2015,
My first week of betting 'seriously' on golf, here are my thoughts and suggestions.
First a quick review, last week was definitely one that got away. For someone of Stenson's class and experience you really don't expect a bottle job, but I'm afraid that's exactly what this was. Three pars to finish wins trhe tournament and even after his 'little mishap' on 16, then 3 to get down from the heart of the final fairway would have got a play off. 

To rub in salt, he missed from 18 inches on Saturday,...

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Golf Selections, Tackling the Bookies

Posted by jim g on Sunday, September 6, 2015,
It's Monday lunchtime and straight to the business end of the selection process. Prices are slowly starting to appear for this week's golf events. Skybet have priced the South African event and while I like Jean Hugo's chances as in the previous entry, i don't care for the price, 7/1. Pass!

Next up it's the KLM event, one of the week's better offerings, and no surprise that the class act, Martin Kaymer, heads the betting. 12th in the PGA and has been returning to form gradually after a slow st...
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The Selection process 5-6/9/2015. And Stuff... :)

Posted by jim g on Saturday, September 5, 2015,
Thought it might be mildly amusing to blog as I go through the selection process for my first week betting 'seriously' on golf (as per my post below).

It's Saturday morning and am greeted not just by the sight of rain on opening the curtains, but slate, leaden skies. Summer, bah! But this does have an upside, especially this morning. No 'enforced' shopping trip, and after a swift breakfast, lo and behold the internet is free, and for the morning.
Scenes! This means I can get a head's start on s...
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Giving it a Go. Golf Betting

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, September 2, 2015,
After much pre-planning, careful financing for other contingencies, and experimentation, I've decided to put aside a four figure 'Bank' for golf betting.

Having had a reasonably successful golf betting season, skimming off a few profits I've been lucky enough to win, I've decided to have a proper go at betting seriously. I'd call it 'semi-pro', for want of a better phrase, and if at any stage the pot's gone, then the experiment will be over.

Am choosing not to divulge numbers, and realise that ...

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Ten to Follow. Mountain can Peak

Posted by jim g on Saturday, April 4, 2015,
Welcome to my ten to follow for the flat season! I don't know if it's the feeling of a warmer sun on the back, scent of cut grass or just excitement for the season ahead, but I really like the feel of this group of horses this year!

After a 2014 that started well but ended with a frustratingly large number of seconds, a rather more varied collection of horses this year, from potential Group winners to modest handicappers that can nevertheless hopefully pay their way.

At all times the list will ...
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Dubai World Cup Meeting. Fingers Crossed

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, March 17, 2015,
After a really enjoyable Carnival, which wouldn't have been the same without so many kind messages about the blog on twitter and elsewhere, sincere thanks, we move to the ''Finals Night'', an engrossing blend of the best 'local' talent and challengers from around the World, including Japan, USA, UK, South Africa and France. 

The US arm of my twitter timeline have been mainly oozing confidence over the last week or so, seems they have several races, including the finale, in the bag. :) Anyway m...
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Super Saturday. De Kock Up....

Posted by jim g on Monday, March 2, 2015,
....Well, you know what I mean :)

First and most important, many thanks to all who have popped in during the Carnival to look at the blog, whether once or regularly. And hopefully we've had a bit of fun, as well as a winner or three along the way.

The sad demise of Cavalryman was surely the lowest point, not of course from a punting angle, but just pure sadness at the loss of a true warrior. 10 wins including four Group Twos, a Group One and placed in an Arc. If ever the racing cliche 'he didn...
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Meydan preview 28/2. Cheer for Jeer

Posted by jim g on Thursday, February 26, 2015,
Not my best header admittedly, :) but pretty much straight to the chase for the final Carnival card, ahead of Super Saturday next week. It's a mix of fairly average Carnival horses and some slightly sub-Carnival standard events, but winners to be found nonetheless and one Very Strong fancy.

Thursday was a semi-decent day, Flying the Flag winning at 7/1 (6/1sp) but too many placed rather than winning, including the Nap.
The Appleby debate continues apace. Safety Check did win for Charlie Appleb...
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Meydan 26/2. Flagbearer

Posted by jim g on Friday, February 20, 2015,
The Carnival continues apace, and we might not see too many of the big guns between now and Super Saturday, but plenty exciting fare still on show.

Just a 'stat for starters'. Charlie Appleby's last nine runners over the last two Thursdays have been beaten over 192 lengths. Ouch. Last year they all fell away after first runs, and the pattern is in danger of repeating. Safety Check did buck the trend earlier this month by doubling up, but precious little sign of positivity elsewhere.

TWO Carniva...
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Meydan 19/2. Hot to Trot

Posted by jim g on Friday, February 13, 2015,
Probably charitable to suggest that last week was a mixed bag, not great, though two winners (Reynaldo and Tamarkuz) and an e/w third (Elleval) from the selections. With the Nap and NB both failing to make the frame, it certainly wasn't what I was hoping for in truth, but at least progress, after the week before's first blank of the Carnival.

AS EVER, SELECTIONS NEAR THE BOTTOM IF YOU WANT TO SKIP THE WEEKLY WAFFLE :)

Once again, despite three close finishes on the dirt, as suggested only a few...
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Meydan Preview 12/2. Lion to Bewitch

Posted by jim g on Friday, February 6, 2015,
If you're still here after last week's carnage, thank you. Obviously a very disappointing day, but I suppose it was bound to happen after four decent weeks. Nevertheless must try harder.

Selections near the bottom, as ever, but a different shape to this week's card, hence a one-off new betting strategy this week.

Of the selections, African Story didn't like the surface and the naysayers were correct, hold my hands up, took a view and got it wrong. Frankyfourfingers was something of a revelation...
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Meydan preview 5/2/15. On Safari.

Posted by jim g on Friday, January 30, 2015,
AS EVER, SELECTIONS NEAR THE BOTTOM FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO SKIP THE BLURB! :)

For much of last Thursday it looked like a disappointing day for your blogger. The Nap Artigiano did rescue the e/w money in the opener, but in the next I put up a horse that finished behind Ahtoug last time, and with the latter winning was kicking myself. Then Filfil was nutted on the post, having seemingly just about mastered the game winner One Man Band. Later, True Story was to be second to Vercingetorix (what was...
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Meydan Preview 29/1. Treasure Hunt

Posted by jim g on Monday, January 26, 2015,
After two successful weeks, week three of the Carnival was a largely frustrating day for the blog, but it wasn't all bad news....

BETS NEAR BOTTOM OF ARTICLE IF YOU WANT TO SWERVE THE PADDING! :)

The three main selections produced two seconds and an unplaced, and while many will take Tamarkuz as their horse of the week, I think Umgiyo, who covered the last 400 metres in 23.61 (courtesy of @Trakusracing data), about 0.8 of a second faster than any other horse on the day, on the dirt, deserves t...
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Meydan 22/1/15. Hats Off!

Posted by jim g on Monday, January 19, 2015,
Big news from the desert this week  - Yes, it rained! :) And, somewhere between scraping ice from the windows and tightly clutching a warm mug of coffee to thaw out, my heart may have momentarily bled for those who were suffering 30c, and as they were quick to tell us on twitter, and, oh my sainted aunt, imagine it, poor souls... rain! But if my heart did bleed, I may have missed it... :)

Of course the implication is that it might reduce the kickback this week in the four dirt races (which, ha...
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Meydan 15/1/15. Energia aims for Summit

Posted by jim g on Monday, January 12, 2015,
INTRO:

SELECTIONS AT BOTTOM IF YOU WANT TO SKIP THE WAFFLE! :)

First a big thank you for all the kind comments last week on twitter and elsewhere, and a record number of blog hits too. Without your visits there would be no blog - and whether occasional, regular or new visitor you are all of course equally appreciated! Thanks.

A winning Nap always helps, and last week saw the blog get off to a  decent start with two of the three main selections winning. Nap selection Faulkner took the plaudits at...
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Carnival Time! 8/1/15 Surfer can Net prize

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, January 6, 2015,
Here at last! Red letter day on Thursday for the new surface as the new season of the Meydan Carnival gets underway. The blog will return with weekly previews for Meydan, not bets in every race (three selections on day one) but certainly attempting to find a few winners! Very excited to have it back to get me warmed up during what can be very quiet domestic midweek fare in January and February.

The first two or three weeks simply demand caution as there's always a lot of guesswork involved. DO...
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One-A-Day 28 Dec - Early Jan

Posted by jim g on Sunday, December 28, 2014,
SUNDAY 28TH

Apologies for lack of updates, briefest entry today. I put up STOSUR (One-A-Day Nap) a couple of weeks ago but was a non-runner, now goes to Deauville for a soft looking Listed event and is worth chancing e/w at the price 26/1 (not a typo!) with Racebets and 20/1 with Paddy Power.
At Limerick FULTON (e/w 13/2 Paddy) in the closing bumper is also interesting e/w. Heavily gambled favourite for this ravce lst year, but brushed aside by the subsequently very useful Boondooma, loo...
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One-A-Day. Christmas period

Posted by jim g on Monday, December 15, 2014,


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One-A-Day 8-14 December

Posted by jim g on Sunday, December 7, 2014,
The five horses put up last week produced two winners and three more seconds, so not too far away from the honey pot!

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR EACH DAY'S SELECTION.

MONDAY 8TH DECEMBER

Short entry today due to time constraints.

Two of interest, both at Lingfield. STOSUR e/w 9/1 Hills (2.30 ONE-A-DAY SELECTION) ran an absolute blinder when badly wrong at the weights last time at Wolverhampton in a Class two race when a close fourth. There appeared to be no fluke about that as the time was fast, and ...
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One-A-Day Selections 1-7 December

Posted by jim g on Monday, December 1, 2014,
Frustrating week last week with a string of placed efforts, and failed to continue the momentum of the previous week, just the one win from six selections, though several 'favourable mentions', such as Marble Statuette and Strategic Heights, obliged.
Prom Meesawat's frustrating failure to birdie any of the last seven holes on Sunday, for example, when those around him put lots of blue on the board, meant he missed a place by just two shots.

PLESE SCROLL DOWN FOR DAILY SELECTION

This week, the Mo...
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Selections 24-30 November

Posted by jim g on Sunday, November 23, 2014,
A good week last week with three winners from the seven selections, including the blog's first Maximum which came at Dundalk, and Stenson landing an 8/1 bet. There were also three seconds, so it was nearly a very good week!

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR THE LATEST SELECTION UNDER EACH DAY'S DATE.

24TH NOVEMBER

Two of some interest at Wolverhampton are Rutherglen, who suffered a slight setback when about to run in long term target  the Irish Cesarawitch, so would have been fit for that and hopefully ove...
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Selections 17-23 November

Posted by jim g on Monday, November 17, 2014,
A mixed first five days for the blog, with a couple of each ways hitting the frame, but the more confident selections being disappointing! Rory Sabbatini mixed two flawless rounds of 66 with two dreadful efforts of 73 and 76, while among the horses, Elusive Laurence's short head defeat at 12/1 was the closest we came to a winner.
Do remember this is an amateur blog please when deciding whether to follow me in on any selections, and thanks for your patience as we look for that elusive winner!

17...
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One-Bet-A-Day Selections 13-16 November

Posted by jim g on Thursday, November 13, 2014,
PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR THE LATEST SELECTION EACH DAY.

Nice to get the revamped blog underway yesterday with 12/1 e/w selection Elusive Laurence running a huge race, and going down a short head in a wild finish. Obviously the 'W' would have been nicer, but it wasn't quite to be.
Hopefully a few of you though enjoyed the race and made a few bob!

As said in the intro yesterday, the day's best bet won't always be horse racing and today's is the first venture elsewhere. Looked at the racing long and ...
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One-Bet-A-Day. Welcome!

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, November 12, 2014,
Hi

Welcome to my newly revised blog. On an experimental basis until the Christmas holidays, I will be putting up one Sports Bet a day.

A few of your possible questions answered first.

1) I've been punting since the 1980s, so I'd like to think I've built up a bit of experience meantime, and don't just play in horse racing, but other sports including golf, rugby union and football.

2) Most of my bets will be horse racing, but not exclusively. That's particularly the case when we only have fairly a...
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Champion Bumper Preview. Vic... Vic... Victory

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, March 11, 2014,
Champion Bumper Preview. Vic... Vic.. Victory.
WEATHERBYS CHAMPION BUMPER (A STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE) GRADE 1(CLASS 1) (4-6yo) Winner £34,170 23 runners 2m110y Good To Soft RUK. 5.15 Wednesday.

Outside of the Champion hurdle, this is my favourite race of the week. Appreciate not many will agree, but Bumpers are niche races, followed by relatively few, but a small cult seems to form around those who enjoy this race. 

And my opinion is that this is the best crop in many years. My e...
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meydan 1st March. personal notes and only provisional

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, February 25, 2014,
Due to two Carnival cards this week, notes added here usual site though please visit www.sportsnut.yolasite.com where these comments will be added

2.45

No Bet.

Summary:
Likely favourite here, Plantagenet got the run of the race when a fine third to Elleval last week, the horse loves a fast pace when the front runners come back. Not been as good in small fields historically, so it might pay to consider Mickdaam, didn't show much behind Vercingetorix last time but is a former listed winner here, o...
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Opinion: A reply, and why Scots deserve to be in Six Nations.

Posted by jim g on Monday, February 10, 2014,
For anyone who hasn't seen it, The Telegraph's Sports correspondent, Paul Hayward (@_paulhayward on twitter) has written an article suggesting that Scotland should be told to 'Shape up or Ship out' of the Six Nations. The premise is that they are no longer fit to be part of the tournament, in that they do not take it seriously and their stats are dreadful in the first two games of this year's tournament, following years of disappointing results.

Let's get this straight from the start. This ard...
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Curley related Gamble. Opinion

Posted by jim g on Thursday, January 23, 2014,
Yesterday, as I suspect most/all readers will know by now, ex-Barney Curley related horses, all returning from long absences, landed an estimated 2 million pound gamble, (undoubtedly the blow softened by exchange trading), winning four races at various all weather meetings in the UK.

Nothing a punter loves more than to stick one on the bookies, and plenty picked up a nice payout. Even the bookies sounded almost relieved that the 'Sting' was not greater. Twitter was buzzing with triumphal comme...
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Lions Tour latest news views

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, June 11, 2013,
A

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1,000 Guineas preview. What's in A Name?

Posted by jim g on Friday, May 3, 2013,
Fifteen go to post for the Fillies Classic on Sunday, the Qipco 1,000 Guineas over the straight mile. After such a dramatic few weeks in flat racing's HQ for all the wrong reasons, with the Zarooni and Butler yards guilty of steroid use, Newmarket will be glad to get back to doing what it does best, and that's racing itself of course.

The forecast is set fair and the ground likely to be around good to firm (watered to maintain). With the stalls placed in the centre it should provide a fairly l...
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Opinion. Steroids, Zarooni and wider implications.

Posted by jim g on Thursday, April 25, 2013,
To the clear outrage of his boss, Sheikh Mohammed, Mahmood Al Zarooni has in effect accepted that he has broken the rules of British racing by permitting the giving of anabolic steroids to horses in his care in Newmarket.
The biggest 'casualty' in terms of racing is Certify, a leading fancy which will now miss the Guineas next month, but this story has far deeper implications for the sport I love.

The nominal punishment is an apparently brutal 8 year ban but in one sense it matters little as Za...
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Amateur preview, Meydan World Cup. Fair Wind for Surfer

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, March 26, 2013,
At last, after three months of wonderful racing, the talking is about to stop, and many of the globe's finest horses will fight out the honours on World Cup night. A glittering occasion as a spectacle, with the horses and indeed plenty prize-money to do it full justice.

It's impossible for flat racing afficianados not to salivate, and although I'm penning this on Tuesday, (updated Thursday), already everyone is talking up their fancy's chances. Eleven American raiders plus a smattering of exci...
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One a Day for Cheltenham; Union looks Due

Posted by jim g on Monday, March 11, 2013,
Welcome to my amateur preview of the Festival! One of my great difficulties with meetings like Cheltenham is that I end the week wishing I'd had more on the ones that did well and had fewer bets elsewhere!
There's no answer to the first problem of course, but there is to the second. As with so many punters, it's all too easy to have too many bets. I find that I dilute the good ones with a plethora of might have beens. This year although will have probably 2-3 smaller bets each day, however I'v...
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Meydan amateur preview 9/3/13. Dawn can Light Up Carnival

Posted by jim g on Thursday, March 7, 2013,
A cracking week for blog followers last week, I hope, with Mufarrh striking at 14/1 on Thursday, Plantagenet (12/1 was available) proving the value of @trakusracing's superb analysis and Kavanagh landing the weekend Nap at a nice enough 10/3 (price suggested) on Saturday.

SUPER SATURDAY:

It's 'final trials' day this Saturday ahead of World Cup night on March 30th, and it's a card worthy of its billing. Most races you could make a good case for around half the field, so it's as you'd expect top ...
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Amateur preview Meydan 2/3. Empire to Strike Back

Posted by jim g on Friday, March 1, 2013,
A rollercoaster day on Thursday for the blog. The nap Elleval got rather caught on heels before trying to go for the same gap as the winner. in the end had to settle for a rail run and used a lot of petrol to nose briefly to the front before fading into fourth. The conclusion has to be that despite that less than ideal passage the horse wasn't quite good enough in better company than the time before. Lovely Pass was second and we missed out in the sprint. Paul Hanagan was very aggressive from...
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Amateur preview Meydan 28/2. Irish eyes...

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, February 26, 2013,
Hopefully last week was an exciting and profitable one for blog followers, with Nap, Con Artist, romping away with his race in great style, and Await the Dawn also scoring impressively. Sajjhaa and Mushreq both received positive mentions while Dux Scholar also given a write-up, bolted up in a fast run finale.

Igugu was the big disappointment of the day, but @trakusracing stats indicate, at least to me, she is worth another chance, having set some almost insane fractions early to mid-race. She ...
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Amateur preview Meydan; Artist can Draw

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, February 19, 2013,
After two great weeks when the blog put up 6 out of 12 winners, the last fortnight has been a different story, with just Soft Falling Rain obliging last week. It will be very interesting to see whether the horse is asked to tackle his elders such as the impressive winner Moonwalk In Paris next time.

I do think this week's card is more 'tractable' in betting terms, but time will tell! As always this is written when there is no market formed. Hopefully Wednesday evening will see first offerings ...
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Amateur preview. Rolls up for Valentine's

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, February 12, 2013,
Meydan happily for followers has two meetings this week, on Thursday and Saturday. Thursday's card looks full of quality and finding winners as ever a tricky task. After two great weeks for the blog, last Thursday saw a series of placed horses and was ultimately disappointing.

As always, please note this is written before any market is available.

The UAE 2,000 Guineas is expected to go to SOFT FALLING RAIN (Meydan 3.55). Won the trial in very good front running style. The clock for that race (7...
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Opinion Column. Kitty Reaches Premature Ceiling

Posted by jim g on Saturday, February 9, 2013,
The news that Ceiling Kitty, two dates after her 'personal' third birthday (4th February foal), is to be retired to stud has caused barely a flutter it seems in the racing community. I find that disappointingly predictable as once again the sport apathetically accepts it and moves on, without any attempt to examine the serious questions it raises for the game.

She was a fine two year old. By Red Clubs out of a speedy US Tale of the Cat family, she won three times off the reel in May and June, ...
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Meydan amateur preview 7/2. Backing Back

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, February 5, 2013,
The last two Meydan Carnival previews have yielded the blog a more than pleasing (I think, anyway!) 6 winners from the 12 races. 
This week's card unfortunately doesn't promise similar returns, and I will only be having serious bets in a couple of the races this time round, however they are a couple of intriguing and decent propositions i think....

No prices at the time of typing, so as ever, suggestions are initially e/w depending on prices.

The Nap vote goes to I'M BACK (Meydan 3.50 NAP). This...
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Six Nations Preview; Oh Calcutta

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, January 29, 2013,
Where to start with this, the most historic and longest standing fixture in the Rugby Union Calendar? Emotions always run high when this wonderful fixture comes round, the pulse involuntarily accelerates and despite the recent relative one-sidedness, the rivalry stirs the blood every time.

England arrive still buzzing from that historic thrashing of the mighty All Blacks, 38-21. Twickenham will be buzzing on Saturday with the thought of the start of a potential England Grand Slam, massively ra...
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Amateur preview Meydan 24/1. Don't Suffer a Jet

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, January 23, 2013,
After a fine start to the year for the blog, last week was a disappointment. In particular Glass Office left its race in the stalls, broke poorly, was keen and stayed on well. Not one to give up on if reappearing in the UAE Guineas. i doubt would beat the winner from last week, the impressive Soft Falling Rain, but a place is definitely on if last week's run got rid of the 'froth' after a break.

This week's card is actually medium sized fields and yet a lot of guesswork as to fitness and some ...
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Amateur preview, Meydan 17/1. Bob a Beauty?

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, January 16, 2013,
A good start to 2013 for the blog with last week's Meydan nap Tamaathul running a very fine second at 16/1, and Friday's Dundalk nap, 9/4 when first posted, also triumphing. Also the short priced Jebel Ali double paid about 7/4 to reward early birds on Friday.

It's another really trappy card in the desert this week. The feature horse is Mike De Kock's Soft Falling Rain. This 3yo has the UAE Guineas as its target before a crack at World Cup night. Four from four in South Africa, its last win wa...
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Amateur Preview 11/1/13. Flyer can Swoop

Posted by jim g on Thursday, January 10, 2013,
A pretty good start to the year for the blog, inches away from being oh so much better! Nailed the forecast in the opener at Meydan, Lily's Angel getting first run on the flying Ariete Arrollador, however Farrier was very disappointing behind an impressive winner in Royal Empire. Didn't put up Sharestan but gave it a positive mention in dispatches and it bolted up. A very fine horse and should build on that success in coming weeks, definitely one to keep onside.

The oft mentioned but not actua...
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Carnival Time! Tam can Nick Loot.

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, January 9, 2013,
A hugely Happy New Year to all readers. After a great break over Christmas and New Year (it was good to sign off the blog with a winning Nap for 2012) the blog returns with Meydan on Thursday, and a tremendously competitive start to the Carnival with several oversubscribed fields and high quality racing.

I hope it isn't starting with an excuse (get them in first lol!) to say i don't remember such a high quality and difficult start to the Carnival for punters, however I've hopefully identified ...
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Amateur preview 14/12. On the House

Posted by jim g on Thursday, December 13, 2012,
In my last blog entry i napped up if Per Chance, still haven't quite got over the embarrassment of the 14th of 14.....

....only for the horse to reappear in a very similar handicap a week later and be beaten in a photo in a driving finish. That's racing!!

Dundalk is the focus on Friday for me, with one other smaller bet at Jebel Ali. FARMLEIGH HOUSE (NAP Dundalk 7.30) beat three of his four rivals tomorrow last time, despite, unusually for it, missing the break, in a time nearly a second better...
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Amateur preview St Andrew's Day. Chance a fine thing!

Posted by jim g on Thursday, November 29, 2012,
The blog has taken a break but is back whenever there's good quality flat racing in particular, and Friday does not disappoint with Dundalk, Jebel Ali and Wolverhampton. Not all about the Hennessey meeting for sure!

Only early bird readers will catch Jebel, with the first race at 10.05am and there runs my best bet on the card. I put up Sarbola last time but finished 3rd behind Mutual Force. Has a reasonable chance of reversing form here, but preference is for the lightly weighted KARMA CHAMELE...
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Amateur preview 16/11. Ballot gets my Vote!

Posted by jim g on Thursday, November 15, 2012,
The blog continues on the 'easy list' for a couple of weeks, but when the all-weather sparks into life, as on friday with four meetings, at Lingfield, Wolverhampton, Jebel Ali and Dundalk, will continue to update.
It's the last two meetings that attract me betting wise, with a Maximum bet at the Irish venue.

FRIDAY:

SARBOLA (Jebel Ali 12.55) with the excellent James Doyle booked, can take the final race on the Jebel card. A winner of two races after a break last November by 4l and 7l, the 5yo ca...
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Amateur update 11/11. Tarquin looks Great

Posted by jim g on Saturday, November 10, 2012,
Just a recap of Sunday's bets below, as the blog prepares to take a short break, though will continue to do updates for Jebel Ali and Dundalk.

The end of a fabulous flat season, despite the dreadful weather. Given that this is the blog's first full season, overall delighted with how it went. From March till about June the blog was almost unstoppable. The second half of the season was an inevitable come-uppance, but the last few weeks have seen a gradual return to form.
Frankel was needless to s...
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Amateur preview 10/11. Smooth Operator

Posted by jim g on Friday, November 9, 2012,
A brave run by Portrait Emotion on Friday, just beaten in a driving finish and not getting the verdict, despite a long stewards' enquiry as the result of an objection to the winner

SATURDAY:

November handicap day at Doncaster and a plethora of near impossible races to unravel for ambitious punters. There is one very strong fancy on the card for me, and that's SAJHAA (Doncaster 2.00) in the Listed race. Had a nice spin in France recently when not beaten far and that should have blown away the c...
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Amateur preview 9/11. Angel's a Horse to back

Posted by jim g on Thursday, November 8, 2012,
Another very brief update - it's that time of year. Delighted to report though that Rochdale did the business at a lovely sp of 11/2, winning the same race for the third year running, going clear in the home straight and lasting home by over 2 lengths at the line. Dubh Go Leir made a fine effort to make all and found just one too good, but Mentalist was slightly disappointing, finishing a one paced third.
Rochdale will likely reappear in a fortnight for a race where his last four year's figure...
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Amateur preview 8/11. Head for Rochdale.

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, November 7, 2012,
The quiet start to the week continued on Wednesday with Grange a late non-runner.

I talked of a maximum on thursday. Having been very confident that would be the case, i was surprised by jockey bookings for the Al Raihe stable at Meydan. It's not unusual for the stable to have multiple runners in a race, and though Royston Ffrench isn't always on their best, he usually rides ROCHDALE (Meydan 4.10). That and the fact that the horse is nine now conspire to cloud the picture somewhat and I've had...
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Amateur Update 7/11. In range-grange?

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, November 6, 2012,
hopefully one or two caught my monday evening update, where i put up Fiorenti e/w at 33/1 in the Melbourne Cup. Just gave the winner first run, finishing fast and late to take second and make it a fine start to the week for blog readers.

Wednesday continues the quietest start to a week I can remember. If GRANGE (Fairyhouse 1.45) takes his chance after a good second on Tuesday at Punchestown, well worth a look in the market. A winner at this trip recently at Tipperary and could still be progres...
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Update 6/11

Posted by jim g on Monday, November 5, 2012,
No bets again for Tuesday but that will change on Wednesday or Thursday. Thanks for being patient and hope that despite the blank days at the start of this week you will continue to support the blog!

EDIT: Just a very quick one though, I think Fiorente is interesting in the Melbourne Cup e/w 4am overnight (33/1 Victor Chandler). Has a verdict over last year's runner up, Red Cadeaux, just nine career starts so still open to improvement (first time blinkers), good draw in 10 and won a Group 2 tw...
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Amateur update 5/11

Posted by jim g on Sunday, November 4, 2012,
After the disappointment of a Nap chinned on Friday, Point of Entry was another second. Lost a couple of lengths when receiving a hefty bump early in the race (possibly from Treasure Beach), which meant it travelled two thirds of the way down the field, and beaten a staying on length at the line, it's not hard to think that made a crucial difference. Did, as I hoped, finish ahead of 3rd, 4th and 5th, the 'dangers' St Nicholas Abbey, Trailblazer and Shareta, but Little Mike (which had been 29 ...
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Amateur preview 3-4/11. Santa visits early!

Posted by jim g on Friday, November 2, 2012,
After a magnificent day's racing on Friday, Saturday doesn't have quite the amount, but the quality is sensational with the Breeders' Cup at 'Santa' Anita again taking centre stage. Friday, with so many selections, was almost inevitably mixed. three positives at newmarket produced two winners and a third, while My Verse ran a decent but annoying second, , Amethyst Dawn a non-runner but a huge disappointment as the evening's best, Rayhari, was beaten in a photo that the studio thought had won....
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Amateur Preview 2Nov. Ray can Shine

Posted by jim g on Thursday, November 1, 2012,
Thursday's action was as dire as anticipated. Even Jessie Harrington is going to have her work cut out to get a race out of Johnny's Legacy, after a 'reluctant' performance. A return to Dundalk looks the only hope. unusually nina Carberry gave her mount far too much to do, Bose Ikard, and the horse flattened out when belatedly sent up to challenge a furlong out. I said it was a day I nearly passed altogether, rather wish I had!
Thankfully we have some sensational racing imminent. Thursday was ...
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Amateur Blog All Saints Day Preview. Go Johnny Go

Posted by jim g on Wednesday, October 31, 2012,
Thursday is the calm before the storm of Breeders' Cup, the start of the Jebel Ali/Meydan season, and the weekly fun of the fair at Dundalk, among others.
Wednesday's reverse forecast was never in much doubt for the blog and landed comfortably, with Clonbanan Lad making all, chased throughout by Operating. The latter stayed on nicely after the last and will be sharper for the run. Both look worth following. The Nap, Eastern Dragon, at Kempton,  halved in price from when I put it up at 12/1 e/w...
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Operation Winner. Amateur preview 31/10.

Posted by jim g on Tuesday, October 30, 2012,
Following a very modest Tuesday of racing, the blog continues its selective strategy with two bets on Wednesday. Tuesday's nap selection for the competition went down by a neck, need a decent winner on Wednesday after Dale 'The Gibbo' Gibson extended his lead on the monthly table with a 7/2 winner. Through (slightly) gritted teeth, nice work Dale, but I'm not quite done with! :)

WEDNESDAY:

A really intriguing maiden hurdle at Punchestown and I'll be having a reverse forecast on two potentially ...
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Amateur preview 30/10. Tactical Voting....

Posted by jim g on Monday, October 29, 2012,
Although Monday wasn't the greatest day in the history of the blog, it ended up serving a purpose! Go Native was massively impressive in winning the flat race at Galway and must go to the Morgiana hurdle with a favourite's chance next month, while managed to lay Cara's Request around evens, having backed it at 14/1.
However the highlight of the day was nailing the Naas maiden hurdle, with Jezki getting up late to catch the well backed Gigginstown acquisition, Ally Cascade, the pair over 20 len...
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Amateur preview 29/10. To Go Native, or...?

Posted by jim g on Sunday, October 28, 2012,
A mixed weekend with several winners from the blog positives on Saturday, however Sunday's Nap Dalkala didn't get the trip, having looked the winner when cruising up two out.

MONDAY:

A good maiden hurdle opens the Naas card, and looks to lie between JEZKI, fit from a recent spin on the flat, and impressive bumper winner Ally Cascade (12.55 Naas). Jezki has the greater racecourse experience after two bumper wins and a decent 8th in the Champion bumper at Cheltenham. However Ally Cascade could no...
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Amateur Preview 27/28-10. Dalkala to conquer

Posted by jim g on Friday, October 26, 2012,
The blog ended a very good Friday with three winners and two seconds from the seven selections, and happily the Nap i offered up for the competition was, in the end, Atmpspheric High, which won well. However another was a huge eyecatcher in that race for next time, and I suspect will have delivered quite a speed figure.... ;)

Saturday's horses to watch in the market had a very good day on the blog with three winners and a pair of seconds, however Skilful was disappointing. Cheers for Thea let ...
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Amateur preview 26th. Bombay won't Duck Issue!

Posted by jim g on Thursday, October 25, 2012,
Due to a few blog issues, I've popped over to this location for now, please click on my twitter post links for this. Not sure if it is permanent or temporary, and apologies for any issues it might cause readers.

Thursday's Nap drifted, (as did everything else in the race pretty much) only in the face of a wall of money for the ultimate winner, Hold Court. In the event travelled well but appeared to blow up or run out of stamina approaching the last. After two years off before its last run, ...
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Amateur blog test

Posted by jim g on Friday, September 14, 2012,
hi
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