Not such a good week last week, despite a win for headline horse Safety Check. Let's Go was far from the first Charlie Appleby inmate to disappoint on the dirt, while Elleval could manage only third (though was put up each way) and the other Halford horse, Certerach, was never sighted.

Another interesting card and more competitive than last week, but very testy for punters this week, but I hope a couple of potentially decent bets along the way.


3.00 Not too often involved in the non-Carnival races, but looks a strong bet here. State Law bolted up last time, with a soft lead, after a few disappointing efforts, but there's a decent 'case' that BEACHY HEAD (NAP) might be able to beat him. The selection, albeit at different tracks, is 3/3 at 7F and has shown his liking for this track. I think it lies between the pair and forecast backers might be interested in that angle, but Beachy Head, who beat higher rated horses than State Law last time and has beaten several of today's rivals recently into the bargain, edges it for me. Beachy Head has stall one, while State Law might have to work hard from the outside box to get to the front and then find the likes of Alareef taking him on anyway.

4.45 The manner of FORRIES WALTZ's smooth success last time suggests a horse with plenty more to come. Big Baz is a tough battler and should make a race of it, but might have bumped in to a rapid improver here. Earnshaw could also serve it up to them if recapturing his best, while Mujarrib was not far behind Big Baz last time. However Cape Derby winner Ertijaal is surely the biggest danger, and only the trainer will know which is the likeliest winner.

5.20 A fascinating race. Flash Fire was narrowly touched off by Forries Waltz last time, so we'll obviously get a strong clue from the previous race, while ANAEROBIO e/w ran decently in a Group Two behind Safety Check. The selection is something of a standing dish here and this could be the day, dropping back into handicap company. Fils Anges ran some fine races here last year, winning once and recording a fine second to Dark Emerald. An open enough contest but the class dropper is taken to show them all a clean pair of heels.


A little e/w double on Emirates Skycargo, unlucky in running last time (5.55) and Dark Emerald, who had a fine season here last year (6.30) could reward punters, but once again my main focus will be on the three earlier summarized races.

Doug Watson's second time out runners have been going well, so the talented Dux Scholar in the sprint might be worth a look in the market, though both Irish raiders, Jamesie and Seanie, look realistic alternatives. Probably not a race to be involved in with any confidence.

As always, thanks for reading, your time is precious and your visit appreciated.


Singles, E/W Treble:

3.00 Beachy Head 7/2 BET365. NAP.
4.40 Forries Waltz 4/1 LADBROKES
5.15 Anaerobio e/w 5/1 LADBROIKES (Saver on Flash Fire)

Small Stakes

 E/W Singles, E/W Double:

5.55 Emirates Skycargo 11/2 BET365
6.30 Dark Emerald 6/1 LADBROKES


ONE FOR THE ROAD: No joy so far for our postscript feature in the first two weeks, with Hammurabi only third last week, but maybe TOBACO in the second race on the Saturday undercard, can change things. Well regarded Doug Watson inmate, has been second on both starts, bumping into a potentially smart Godolphin newcomer on New Year's Day. Was a bit green still that day, and should be a bit more streetwise this time, and drawn ideally in four, hopefully shedding the maiden tag at the third attempt.

PS: On the same card, Blue Creek 1.10 is likely to be unbackable, but if he is a workable price for your style of punting, whatever that may be, worth noting he still has an Epsom Derby entry. it's fair to say nothing else in this field would have ever had such lofty expectations!