The last two Meydan Carnival previews have yielded the blog a more than pleasing (I think, anyway!) 6 winners from the 12 races. 
This week's card unfortunately doesn't promise similar returns, and I will only be having serious bets in a couple of the races this time round, however they are a couple of intriguing and decent propositions i think....

No prices at the time of typing, so as ever, suggestions are initially e/w depending on prices.

The Nap vote goes to I'M BACK (Meydan 3.50 NAP). This horse's fine second to the much touted Soft Falling Rain is the pick of the form in this 7f race and pretty progressive last season. 

Hototo is well known to UK readers, and ran well in some better grade races, but when he tried this trip the once, just faded out of it and I think the horse might be a sprinter. Also Fawzi Nass's last three runners have finished in rear. Hototo from stall one is likely to blaze the trail but could set the race up for the Nap. Nevertheless this horse was competing in top class company, last seen in a Group one, beaten five lengths, and if ready to go here must rate the biggest danger to the selection. There's plenty of front runners though, so getting taken on up front after a break is unlikely to help.

The other one to look at here could be El Estruendoso. About five lengths behind the selection in Soft Falling Rain's race, but that was only second career start so is well entitled to get much closer to the nap this time, but I think I'm Back will prove too strong and stall 11 is slightly against the De Kock runner.

The UAE 1,000 Guineas can go the way of MUSIC CHART (Meydan 4.25) NB. Only third career start when winning the trial here last time in the style of a progressive filly and she will be very hard to beat. The second, Shuruq, reopposes but was beaten fair and square and I feel the extra furlong is more in the selection's favour, while the once raced (won) De Kock challenger, Emotif, is pitched in at the deep end. However Mike De Kock is apparently very bullish, and the horse did beat horses with 12 previous wins between them on debut and he's not a bad judge!! A once raced horse in a Classic isn't for me, however if she is the wonder filly the De kock team seem to think she is, then I guess she will turn us over.
...It's that sort of card this week!
Edit; Incidentally, Lovely Pass has a verdict over the favourite, and Ladbrokes 10/1 will tempt plenty each way players I hink....

No other serious bets but here goes anyway... :)

The stayers race is a brute in terms of trying to find the winner. Many of the field here finished in a heap behind Anatolian last time out, and you could fancy any of them to come out on top frankly this time over this slightly longer trip.

Original selection Al Shemali is a non-runner, and in its absence a token vote goes to the progressive young stayer Ahzeemah (5.00). Came out marginally best of those that ran in Anatolian's race, and at just the age of 4 and relatively lightly raced, this gelded son of Dubawi has that bit more scope for improvement than most.

The Group 2 at 5.35 sees the reappearances of three fine Godolphin horses, Hunter's Light, Prince Bishop and course specialist Mendip. With the likes of Await the Dawn and Mufarrh in opposition it's just not a race I can get involved in. Prince Bishop is the likeliest to have an earlier season target than others i suspect, and should at least make the frame, with good form fresh in the past.
Update; Mendip won this race last year, but that was after a previous run, when the horse was too fizzy at the stalls and ran disappointingly. If repeating those tendencies after a break here, is vulnerable. Saint Baudalino has been backed heavily overnight.
For different reasons the weak opener to the card has me shying away. At least Layali Al Andalus is holding its form well and would probably be the percentage call, but could be short for a horse that isn't always the most reliable, and don't be surprised if David Simcock's Ottoman Empire turns round recent form, while MuckNBrass was another eyecatcher last time and might represent the best e/w value.

I should have mentioned Blue Corner here, which ran in mid-division in the race won by Lajooj. It's a race for which i have some excellent speed ratings, and so the performance was possibly better than the finishing position might indicate. That might be good enough to take this but at the likely prices I just prefer MuckNBrass e/w which had arguably the better form of the pair in Ireland.

The finale is another desperately tight handicap and may in the end lie between Rutland Boy who has run into Tamaathul and Barbecue Eddie on its last two starts, running with great credit in both, and Yaa Wayl which put in a good performance when third to Lily's Angel. 
Producer is an interesting raider for Richard Hannon and better can be expected from Mariner's Cross which was well backed but ultimately disappointing last time.

For anyone getting involved Rutland Boy should be a tempting e/w price. Edit; 14/1 is just too big, added to my bets this morning



3.50 Meydan: I'm Back NAP
4.25 Meydan: Music Chart NB

Other races, a "token" e/w lucky 15 (all should be big prices) for those so inclined and with strong nerves....

3.15 Meydan: MuckNBrass
5.00 Meydan: Ahzeemah
5.35 Meydan: Prince Bishop
6.10 Meydan: Rutland Boy e/w single at 14/1.

incidentally a £1 ew lucky 15 would return over £20,000 if.....
.... not gonna happen, Rodney! :)

I think this is the least attractive punting card at the Carnival so far, and it's I'm Back which will be carrying my main hope. However, hopefully (overnight decs permitting of course) I will be having a hefty bet at Dundalk on Friday, check out my twitter posts nearer the time and meanwhile good luck on Thursday. As ever thanks for popping in. :)