The five horses put up last week produced two winners and three more seconds, so not too far away from the honey pot!



Short entry today due to time constraints.

Two of interest, both at Lingfield. STOSUR e/w 9/1 Hills (2.30 ONE-A-DAY SELECTION) ran an absolute blinder when badly wrong at the weights last time at Wolverhampton in a Class two race when a close fourth. There appeared to be no fluke about that as the time was fast, and this represents a drop in class, with a young rider taking off 7lbs. Although only two places worth backing e/w at the price..

The other is RAZOR WIND 5/2 Hills (Ling 3.00). Bumped into a well backed horse at Kempton two outings ago before taking his maiden easily at Wolverhampton last time. Looks a progressive type and a mark of 84 should be workable.

TUESDAY 9TH DECEMBER. Offshore can open Account.

Disappointing that Stosur was backed from 9/1 to 4/1 only to be a non-runner, and then Razor Wind was chinned in the final strides, having also been well backed.

I rarely bet at Southwell. Am good friends with people who swear by it, but no number of recorded times or formlines seem to work for me, so it's mildly disturbing that I fancy two quite strongly, and a third to some extent, on Tuesday's card.
It's the 'unexposed' angle that appeals about MOIETY (e/w 12.00). Won maiden well on second start before being hopelessly hampered at Lingfield last time when travelling quite strongly.
First run at the track does temper enthusiasm a little but worth a market check for an e/w bet.

Course form, and 'recency bias' (only last time out winner in field) mean that UNCLE BRIT (2.00) e/w 6/1 Skybet is of more interest. The 8yo won here over course and distance a fortnight ago, wearing down City of Angkor Wat and going away at the finish. Rebecca Menzies clearly has the ex-Malcolm Jefferson gelding in good heart and should give us a good run for our money from a decent draw.
I'm Super Too represents the bang in form Alan Swinbank team, and though all five career wins have come at Hamilton, ran well enough last time when 3rd off a ten week break, staying on into an eyecatching third late on. He rates the danger.

Pyrocumulus in the 2.30, who beat one of today's rivals, Excelling Oscar, by a comfortable 3 lengths here and is only 2lbs worse off today, with the latter having franked the form when winning next time out, is an eyecatching runner. Both look interesting in a warm nursery for the grade and time of year.
Light of the World could be a lenient mark of 64, and like recent Wolverhampton runner up, The Olympus Man, another last time runner up, is another to note
The selection though does go to another Southwell debutant, OFFSHORE (11/4 Several, One-A-Day pick). It's often important to stay further than the nominal distance here, and this horse gets 10f well despite this colt's tender age. With the trainer having a 25% strike rate here, fears about the surface are eased. Runner up on last two starts, can go one better today.


Apologies for a couple of miserable selections on Tuesday though thankfully the One-A-Day selection got it done to save blushes to some extent.

A couple of likely shorties (no market at initial time of typing) on Wednesday might be worth a double, New Year's Night at Kempton and Solomon Northrup at Dundalk should both take their maidens. EDIT: The latter looks remarkable value at 6/4, i was thinking 4/7!!

Later on the Dundalk card, That's Ours e/w (8.40) 16/1 Several, a winner here two runs ago, blew his chance when unseating at the start and being hooded for entry last time. With more amenable behaviour hopefully this time round, is entitled to go close. In truth the 7th to Minot Street in the circumstances beaten less than 6 lengths wasn't such a bad effort.

Nini Ok e/w is another to look overpriced at 10/1 in the 7.40. Ran with credit behind Whailley last time and tumbles into 47-65 company tonight

But the ONE-A-DAY vote goes to Jim Bolger's lightly raced SPARANAI e/w 8/1 Boylesports (Dundalk 9.10). Finished well when fourth behind Moonmeister, Sharjah and Minot Street last week. These three are all multiple recent winners here so Sparanai's fourth represented a fair effort on just fifth career start, staying on late, and now into a far softer looking contest, can take advantage. 
Elusive Laurence and Headlong have both been behind Moonmeister and strictly at the weights Headlong has a good chance to reverse their running there, but the less exposed selection is a confident one.

THURDSDAY 11TH DECEMBER. Anyone for Golf?.

Poorest day since I restarted the blog yesterday. Just two today, keeping it simple in an effort to bounce back! Wentworth Falls (6/4 Ladbrokes/Corals Edit morning into 6/5) saw off a solid form type in Secret Glance to land his maiden at Kempton decisively last time, with the drop to 6f bringing out the best in the Dansili gelding, and steps in to nursery life off a fair mark of 83. The other last time out winner, Exceedingly, rates the danger.

But a speculative One-A-Day vote goes to PAR THREE e/w 8/1 Bet365 two places, in the 5.20 at Kempton on first run for Tony Carroll. Made most over further when ultimately about 12 lengths behind Silver Concorde, the Cheltenham bumper winner, last time. I suspect that, if getting a soft lead again, that standard might at the very least be enough to chase home the favourite Laika, third of four last time at Wolverhampton and mug short at 11/10 on the basis of that.


Picked the wong one, but Laika was a 'bookies' price. Wentworth Falls though looks a very progressive type and one for the notebook. When he grows into that already huge frame, could make some 3yo.

These are first prices, hopeful Marble Statuette in particular will get bigger, though 5/1 for the Nap feels generous.

A few fancies at Dundalk, with the ONE-A-DAY going to MAJESTIC TIMELINE e/w (5/1 Paddy Power) in the  opener. Unlike several of these, a 5f specialist, with all five wins at the minimum trip. After being tried at home in a new bit having reportedly choked before that, chased home Strategic Heights here last time, and can go one better tonight. 
Kimbay, a fine 2nd to Serneity Spa last time, is up 2lbs to a mark of 71 but looks the biggest threat, though stall nine is less than ideal.

At the other end of the card MUCKNBRASS (e/w 6/1 PP) bounced back to form when hitting the front 2f out and only being run down in the final strides. Well drawn here, if young Moriarty, who looked polished taking the 10lbs off last time, can delay his challenge a little longer, should take the beating with a mere 7 stone 10lbs on the horse's back.
A winner off 91 at his best, the gelding has a great chance off 53. Fanzine rates a threat, but has to concede a massive 21lbs to the selection. The tough and consistent course specialist Sharjah is another to consider, just a slight concern that this will be the horse's sixth run since 24th October.

Finally MARBLE STATUETTE (e/w 4/1 BV) in the 8.45 bids for the hattrick and is another with a featherweight 7stone 11lbs. It will be a really smart one that can beat her in this current mood off that weight. The progressive filly is up in grade, but has done some exciting sectionals in these wins, making rapid ground from the rear in both races, and looks capable of further progress.

Clondaw Kaempfer should win the opener at Doncaster but doubtful if it will be a backable price. Edit: 6/4 looks more than fair.

Edit: FairyFoxgolve e/w 8.15 Dundalk, beaten less than 3l by Tsar Paul, is 12lbs better tonight and overpriced at 9/1 for an e/w dabble.


To be truthful this would be the weakest weekend of the jumps season so far, 52 runners at Cheltenham despite 370k prize money, yet there were 18 runners for less than 2k in a maiden hurdle the other day at Doncaster. Odd.

SOLAR DEITY 10/3 Hills ONE-A-DAY vote looks interesting in the 7.45 at Wolverhampton. Course form reads 1312125. That fifth was last time out off a seven month break and given that the Botti horses were bang out of form (signs of a real revival this week) that is easily forgiveable. Topweight for a reason, the best horse in the race and been a regular quality performer in Class 2 races for a while now. 
Maverick Wave is still progressive and likely to be the 'sexier' horse in the market, arriving here off a C2 win at Lingfield, though that was a fairly soft 6 runner affair at Lingfield, and might just be 'bumping into one' here.

I'll also be lumping on place only around 1.8 given the course form.

Sunday's sole selection, even if short will be Aintree and Punchestown bumper winner SHANESHILL (Navan 12.55 ONE-A-DAY; Evens Paddy Power first up, looks fine to me) who should follow up his easy maiden hurdle win last time with this step up into novice company. No Mmore Heroes can make a race of it, but probably not quite good enough to cope with a horse destined for the top.

In the 1.30 at the same track I'll see what price Inis Meain is for place only betting.