Nice to get the revamped blog underway yesterday with 12/1 e/w selection Elusive Laurence running a huge race, and going down a short head in a wild finish. Obviously the 'W' would have been nicer, but it wasn't quite to be.
Hopefully a few of you though enjoyed the race and made a few bob!

As said in the intro yesterday, the day's best bet won't always be horse racing and today's is the first venture elsewhere. Looked at the racing long and hard, and a grade Two and grade three at Clonmel will probably go under the radar, but there are some very nice horses running at the track, including old favourite Sizing Europe taking on the younger legs of Champagne Fever, and exciting novice Killultagh Vic in the opener.

The nearest to a racing bet was Une Artiste which runs there in the Grade Three. Off a break Nicky Henderson could easily have started the horse at Cheltenham this weekend or elsewhere, but sending the mare, who is 11 wins from 22, suggests intent, and Barry Geraghty rides. But 5/2 (Corals) is tight enough for a horse with just one win off a break in the past, and returning on heavy ground. i couldn't put anyone off but she isn't the bet of the day.

That honour (some may say burden!) goes instead to golfer Rory Sabbatini in the OHL Classic Golf. The South African returned from a long break to shoot -1 over two rounds at the Shriners, incredibly still missing the cut, but has followed up with a 22nd (-7) in the McGladrey Classic and then an 8th two weeks ago (-10) at the CIMB.

He has played here three times. Did miss the cut two years ago, but either side of that finished 3rd and 5th. I'm looking at him in the outrights, top 10 and top 20 markets. He's 40/1 for a top 5, 5/1 for top ten and 12/5 top 20, and personally I'm playing him in all three.

The last of these three, though, is the blog suggestion, with Stan James, a real standout price. next best is 15/8 with Paddy Power, which is also satisfactory. However off an 8th placing two weeks ago and with 3rd and 5th here in three starts the 12/5 suddenly looks very good value, in what is a very modest standard of field by tour standards, as 25/1 the field might suggest.

13th November: ONE-A-DAY Suggestion: RORY SABBATINI (Stan James) 12/5 to finish top 20 in the OHL Classic golf. This event starts later today. Good luck if you play!


WELL DONE ME (6.15 Dundalk) gets the vote, see price etc below. Belezza Oscura is the favourite for Micky Halford, but having been stepped up from 6f to 7f on second start, drops to the minimum trip here. The pedigree nor runstyle scream sprinter and the selection can take advantage. The selection has finished well ahead of Daisy Bell previously. Hampered two runs ago when staying on, ran a career best last time in defeat.

Zunera, the winner there, will at least give Halford a line in, but that horse had been third to Byzantium in a really hot race previously, and I don't think Belezza Oscura is in that league, (also has an awkward head carriage, often a sign of temperament), on what we've seen so far. With the two 'likeliest' newcomers drawn in the two outside stalls, I think Well Done Me can gain an overdue success here.

At 5/1 early with Paddy Power, we can even back it e/w. Below 4/1 would become win only but I suggest the 5/1, best odds guaranteed of course, well worth taking e/w.


Nearly went for something at Cheltenham but succumbed to a well hidden stats bet. PERCHE (Wolverhampton 8.15 NAP) stayed on under tender handling at Redcar on debut into 4th. Nothing spectacular on the face of it, but this almost 10f f maiden, on this card, has been won by Godolphin for (from memory) about the last six or seven years. Charlie Appleby had five entered at the five day stage, and on jockey bookings, Perche looks the one to follow in the footsteps of horses like Rebel Song and Press Room which have subsequently turned up with decent ratings in Dubai, having won this maiden.

Some big stables represented with Roger Varian's Skip and Jump heading the market, but that one was behind Godolphin's Beautiful Ending, so they have a line in to the form, while there is some money for the Stoute newcomer Christmas Hamper, which has a fairly wide draw to overcome. Pin Up ran yesterday and is a significant absentee so the selection, 11/4 generally, gets a confident nod.


Perche was a big letdown yesterday. Sorry to followers! Today's for reasons that will quickly be obvious is a small stakes play. LITTLE KING ROBIN e/w at 16/1, or 3/1+ first two places on betfair. Yes I'm well aware that Jezki and Hurricane Fly are likely to finish clear, so i'd better explain this apparent loss of senses....
I can imagine a scenario here where the two principals play jockeys, watching each other intently and allowing the selection a very soft 15 length lead. The mare is bursting fit, and on this ground after a break the other two might not reel her in as easily as they should. And a few of Willie's have been beaten at short prices recently off breaks, needing a run badly in a few cases. If the decline really has finally set in on The Fly, one of my all time favourite horses, then we might just pick up an apparently unlikely payout.