A good week last week with three winners from the seven selections, including the blog's first Maximum which came at Dundalk, and Stenson landing an 8/1 bet. There were also three seconds, so it was nearly a very good week!



Two of some interest at Wolverhampton are Rutherglen, who suffered a slight setback when about to run in long term target  the Irish Cesarawitch, so would have been fit for that and hopefully over the problem, the Quinn horse should go well in the 2 miler. Recent scorer RockAroundtheClock despite the weight might just be too classy for a modest bunch in the 3.05.

But the two that really catch the eye are Razor Wind, who did nothing wrong when second at Kempton, bumping into a very strongly backed newcomer (pair clear) and should lose the maiden tag, while Saturday's positive mention for Boom the Groom bore fruit - and the fourth of four Dundalk Tony Carroll entries last Friday (two ran there and won) Pour La Victoire, appears today instead of last Friday and bids to 'complete the set'.

EDIT: With Pour la Victoire a non-runner and Razor Wind priced at a shocking 1/2, there's currently no ONE-A-DAY selection for Monday, however I'll have a look at other sports so may put up something later in the day for the week ahead, and certainly if not, will be back on Tuesday.

Thanks for looking in, patience is important for me, rather than putting up a bet 'for the sake of it' :)


Will be back on the horses tomorrow with a few candidates standing out, but another golf pick for this week on a very quiet racing Tuesday. For anyone struggling to find something on the horses, the closest I came to a selection was another Stuart Crawford bumper runner, Legacy Phoenix, in the last at Sedgefield. 
Crawford has a 30% strike rate with his bumper runners when sent across the water, including 8/27 at this course. Worth a market check.

But Tuesday's One-A-Day is golfer PROM MEESAWAT e/w (9/1 Several, 10/1 Stan James), who is taken to win the Kings Cup in his native Thailand, an Asian Tour event. A winner earlier this year, the selection's last four finishes have been 3,28,3,2 so he's clearly in fine form. And his course record is just exceptional, his last five visits to this venue have produced finishes of 4,6,6,2,5. 
So to say he's 'due' is hardly exaggeration. And in a fairly modest field, this looks ideal for the Thai golfer to get over the winning line and hopefully back up the blog's success last week with Stenson.

I'll put up a leaderboard link on twitter when the tournament gets underway as I'm well aware this is hardly a mainstream event. For anyone who can't resist, McIlroy, tied 2nd behind Stenson, is around 5/2 in Australia, and the double would pay around 34/1, with the e/w double a far more modest 4/1 or so.

But I'm sticking with the single on Meesawat for the blog as the Tuesday One-A-Day bet.


A more interesting day of racing, at least on the all weather. Two at Kempton, Rightway looks to have a fairly simple task in the maiden at 6.15. Some solid efforts in Ireland, represents new connections here. The second of 24 to Shukhov last time head and shoulders above this grade. 8/11 though is on the short side and I'm looking elsewhere, though if anyone asked me the likeliest winner of the day, this would be it.
The horse has also a maiden entry at Dundalk on Friday, however I wouldn't expect that to be required.

Major Jack in the 7.15 should have more juice (3/1 early doors with Bet365 gone). Up in class but his handler has proved himself so adept with progressive sprinters, and some felt this horse was unlucky as James Doyle just failed to get the Kheleyf gelding up at Lingfield last time, having given the horse probably just too much to do. 

Over in Dundalk, anyone looking for a big price, the 10/1 with Hills for Manny Owens in the nursery looks decent. Course form of 2.1, and the horse that was second to this Mandoro colt last time has won well since.

AKASAKA (3/1) looks a likely one though, and gets the vote. Has changed hands after running a close third to Whailley (winner since) last time in a claimer. A real Dundalk specialist with wins off marks in the high 90s, now down to 85 so gets into this Ratings race and should be able to take advantage, with the promising Tom Madden taking off 7lbs.
Micky Halford's decisive last time out winner Camasaki in a fair time looks to have finally got the hang of things, however on an official rating of 82 doesn't have anything in hand and might find this just too much, but certainly rates the danger.

It's a trappy card, elsewhere Catchy Lass will be popular after a flying finish last time, and the O'Callaghan team will be desperate to get a win out of Indian Tomahawk. His form behind Raydara would give him every chance but he hasn't really progressed.
Elusive Laurence, a blog selection last time, has a fair chance in an open looking finale.

One-A-Day vote goes to AKASAKA (3/1 Paddy Power, Boylesports  7.30 Dundalk)


Mondays to Thursdays during the winter can be pretty low key, so it's nice to see a cracking card at Thurles. Un De Sceaux, Clondaw Court, Blood Cotil and Golantilla just a few of the exciting horses declared.
Un De Sceaux will be priced up very short for the opener, but might be worth having a place only dabble with the racefit CLARCAM, around 6/4 in early exchanges on betfair. Jumped impeccably when second to Vautour at the weekend, and if that hasn't left a mark, then the horse should at least make the frame. Appreciate the horse is first reserve, so hoping he gets a run, money back of course if not.

Jessica Harrington's Mr Fifty One is another exciting runner in this excellent contest, along with Blood Cotil, a pretty decent second string for Willie Mullins so we should be able to get a workable each way (or place only) price.

At the time of typing no market has formed, but should Golantilla (2.35 Thurles) be odds against in the market (I'd be very surprised) then this prmising ex-bumper horse would also merit support.

CLARCAM 6/4 or better Place Only is the One-A-Day suggestion. EDITED 12.00 Appreciate this is very late but in absence of Clarcam (and Blood Cotil) MR FIFTY ONE looks excellent value around Evens for a place and is the replacement One-A-Day selection in this race.


Strategic Heights (Dundalk 6.10) can take the opener. A fine effort last week at 6f when a fast finishing fourth in a better race signalled an imminent return to winning form for JJ Feane's gelding. The drop in trip holds no fears, as all three career wins have come over tonight's course and distance.

On a line through Kimbay, Danz Gift has nothing to find with the selection, however can't afford to be slowly away or the selection will get first run and sees out the 5f really strongly.
Several of these beat each other on a regular basis, Sylvan Mist was recently seen running in Listed company and not beaten far, but has just struggled off this sort of mark in the past, and even finished behind Majestic Timeline, another of today's rivals, in this race last year..
Strategic Gift looked like a winner in waiting here last week and sprinters in form is a favourite cliche of mine, and today is the day i think.

Elsewhere on the card, BAIRNS AT BAY (13/8 Paddy Power) should have a very fair shot at turning over likely favourite Avenue Montaigne, who disappointed at Newmarket when last seen. The Ger Lyons charge has more scope for progress having had just two runs, and formlines via Sharassa with the 90 rated Byzantium suggest that after just two career starts, Bairns At Bay is not far behind the official 94 rating of the favourite. Avenue Montaigne has the best single piece of form, behind Ainippe, but that also gives Lyons a line in on the form.

It's surprising to see Avenue Montaigne upped to 7f as that run was at 5f, and the horse's two least convincing runs were at 6f, whereas Bairns At Bay, by Big Bad Bob, should be better suited by the trip. i can see Avenue Montaigne building up a lead, but crying for the paramedics a furlong out. 
The only negative is the draw, however with a horse that was very slowly away on debut and then two unraced ones on the filly's immediate inside, hopefully Colin Keane will be able to reduce the disadvantage without too much difficulty.

Elsewhere on the card, the slight drop in trip could help Manorov go close in the finale, whole the Andrew Oliver newcomer Breakneck Speed is worth a market check in a weak maiden. Marble Statuette and Nedera are others with chances on a workable night.

Worth noting that Tony Carroll (double last week) has another strong raiding party with four runners declared overnight from seven earlier in the week.

For early birds, the talented track specialist Farrier is fancied to land the 11.35 at Jebel Ali, though whether he'll be a backable price we won't know until bookies price up in the morning.

The ONE-A-DAY vote goes to a value shout, BAIRNS AT BAY to overturn Avenue Montaigne.


Hennessy and Fighting Fifth day, and while I'd anticipate a big run from Smad Place in the former, I'm off to Fairyhouse for the day's best bet.
FINE ARTICLE (Fairyhouse 1.25 ONE-A-DAY Nap 6/4 Several, given the money is coming for Long Dog, hopefully will get bigger) sets a really strong standard in this maiden hurdle. Paul Nolan's gelding won his bumper at Gowran, before finishing fourth in the Punchestown bumper to Shaneshill, and then chased home another good sort, Killer Crow, on hurdles debut.
That experience and the benefit of a recent outing could combine to make life just too tough for the Mullins hurdling debutant Long Dog, (Danny Mullins rides) winner of a minor flat event at Sligo, though it was in a good time and beat a fair yardstick in Thomas Edison. The latter probably found 10f too short. 
 Marinero might pose as much of a threat for Tony Martin, having probably won a better bumper than either of the pair won by Our Sox or Riviera Sun.

One other of interest is Oscar Lateen (11/4 in places) in the 1.35 at Newcastle. Took a while to get the hang of racing and did fall last time, but was going notably well at the time and given a clear round will take the beating off a featherweight in the ground.

Sunday 30th November

Not a dry eye in the house as Sub Lieutenant won yesterday for Sandra Hughes, and could be similar if today's One-A-Day selection ART OF SECURITY (e/w 8/1 Ladbrokes or 7/4 place only betfair) can confirm bumper debut running when ahead of Akito, who reopposes here after a decent second last time out when given plenty to do at front runner's track Cork.
Recency bias might find the market favouring the latter, along inevitably with the point to point winner and Mullins debutant Children's List, but Sandra Hughes's charge looks to have a fine chance if ready for this reappearance.
Delegate has the assistance of many's favourite system, 'Nina in the Bumper' Carberry, and has been backed as if defeat is out of the question, so must be a danger, though most Gordon Elliott bumper horses benefit from an outing

Art of Security and Akito were third and eighth behind Forgotten Rules (doesn't look bad form now!) and the selection has been well entered up in the last fortnight without reappearing, which hopefully indicates a readiness for a run.

One a quiet day I'm hoping The Tullow Tank will also win on the same card at the expense of Apache Stronghold.